Source: http://news.feedzilla.com/en_us/stories/politics/top-stories/259293319?client_source=feed&format=rss
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বুধবার, ৩১ অক্টোবর, ২০১২
Should schools close during bad flu outbreaks?
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Now, researchers say, the big questions include, When is it best to close schools? And what are the downsides? The study, reported in the journal Clinical Infectious Diseases, looked at what happened in two Texas communities during the H1N1 \\\"swine\\\" flu epidemic of 2009. 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Source: http://news.yahoo.com/schools-close-during-bad-flu-outbreaks-174320972.html
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Halloween Movie Recommendations From Our Staff
The storms on the east coast have proven powerful enough in some cases to make some government officials postpone Halloween to a later date, until it's safe again for trick or treaters, but for most people, October 31st will always be All Hallows' Eve. But whether you're stuck inside or coming back in from a [...]
Source: http://moviesblog.mtv.com/2012/10/31/halloween-movie-recommendations-from-our-staff/
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Noma/Inliten-Import Hw 150Ct Clr Net Set 48950-88 Christmas ...
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Noma/Inliten-Import Hw 150Ct Clr Net Set 48950-88 Christmas Lights Net Lights/Tree WrapReviewed by on Oct 29 Ideal for lighting shrubbery and bushes during the holiday season. Clear bulbs. Net-style lights. 24" lead wire. Green wire. Dimensions: 4' x 220.55- "NOMA/INLITEN-IMPORT" NET STYLE LIGHT SET
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Identity Theft 911 Presents the Best Ways to Avoid Getting Scammed ...
In the wake of any major and destructive weather event, there is always confusion, misinformation, and disarray. But if you?re lucky enough to live in a place like the U.S., there is also a massive outpouring of aid.
Unfortunately, there are people out there who use both post-disaster confusion as well as the goodwill of others to grab a piece of the aid pie.
That being said, here?s a helpful list from Identity Theft 911, a group that specializes in ?identity and data risk management, resolution and education services,? detailing the top 5 best ways to avoid getting scammed by thieves looking to take advantage of Superstorm Sandy [all block quotes from Identity Theft 911]:
Identity thieves:
Protect important information and documents. Whether you?re in a shelter, staying with friends, or crashing on your family?s couch, never let these items leave your sight. They are the key to your identity ? and you will need this information to prove who you are.
Another tip: Ask the post office to hold your mail if you have to leave your home. This will keep the bad guys from finding sensitive information that may be left in your mailbox.
Insurance scams
If you?ve experienced damage to any of your personal property, call your insurance company first.? Don?t fall for fly-by-night ?professionals? who make false guarantees about a claims check, damage appraisal, inspection or water quality testing.
Illegitimate websites
Double check the legitimacy of the site you?re clicking to from your email, Facebook or elsewhere. When in doubt, check your local American Red Cross or the National FEMA site to find local help.
Fake charitable organizations
Watch out for scammy charitable organizations that have names similar to reputable institutions. These sites often end in .com (instead of the typical .org for nonprofits).
They?re designed to fool you into thinking you?re donating to a good cause when, in reality, you?re donating your money and personal and financial information to thieves.
Photos with malware
This scam strikes after any type of disaster or tragedy. Thieves count on people to be hungry for news, so they infect images and video with malware.
Stick with legitimate sites, such as your local news station or newspaper for the latest information. Be wary of links on Twitter, Facebook and other social networking sites.
Follow Becket Adams (@BecketAdams) on Twitter
All photos courtesy the AP.
Source: http://www.theblaze.com/stories/here-are-the-top-5-best-ways-to-avoid-post-sandy-scams/
Scattering of hydroxyl radicals measured with velocity-map imaging
ScienceDaily (Oct. 30, 2012) ? Scientists are using velocity-map imaging to examine inelastic scattering of hydroxyl radicals.
Hydroxyl radicals (OH) are important in many chemical systems, including combustion and atmospheric reactions. Measuring experimentally the speed and direction of travel of OH with specific forms of internal energy (e.g. rotational, vibrational and electronic energy) has proved difficult. However, measuring these aspects is a key diagnostic of the mechanism of the process that formed OH.
Now, these distributions (the state-to-state differential cross sections) for inelastic scattering of fully state-specified OH with He and Ar have been measured for the first time. This has been made possible by exploiting the velocity-map imaging technique in a crossed molecular-beam arrangement. The velocity-map imaging technique was invented at the Radboud University Nijmegen in 1997 by David Parker and coworkers.
The new article by David Parker and coworkers of the Institute for Molecules and Materials (IMM) can now be read online.
The measured speed and angular distributions are shown to compare favorably with theoretical predictions. This confirms the quality of calculated potential energy surfaces that are used to describe the astrochemically relevant collisions of OH with He.
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Story Source:
The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Radboud University Nijmegen, via AlphaGalileo.
Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.
Journal Reference:
- Gautam Sarma, Sarantos Marinakis, J. J. ter Meulen, David H. Parker, Kenneth G. McKendrick. Inelastic scattering of hydroxyl radicals with helium and argon by velocity-map imaging. Nature Chemistry, 2012; DOI: 10.1038/nchem.1480
Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.
Disclaimer: Views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.
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Verizon Wireless to sell Nokia's new Lumia smartphones
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Source: http://news.yahoo.com/nokia-unveils-lumia-822-verizon-wireless-122634603--finance.html
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মঙ্গলবার, ৩০ অক্টোবর, ২০১২
Fact Check: Microsoft?s Claims About App Numbers for Windows Phone
We fact check Microsoft's statement that 46 out of the top 50 apps are available on Windows Phone by checking against top app lists for iPhone and Android smartphones.
Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/GearFactor/~3/IsfZIbtNNnM/
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Sex is only natural between a man and a woman, but should be ...
Monday, Oct 29, 2012
China Daily/Asia News Network
By Yang Wanli and Tang Yue
BEIJING, China ? ?Sex addiction? is a subject that often prompts ribaldry rather than sympathy, especially if a Hollywood star is involved. For many people it?s the butt of crude jokes, but those who feel themselves afflicted are often confused, ashamed, dispirited and horrified.
Shi Bin?s aggressive appearance ? a fingernail-sized piercing in his left earlobe and a brace of tongue studs ? is at odds with his gentle manner.
However, the 21-year-old admitted that his ?punk appearance? hinted at ?a demon? inside, one he has been reluctant to acknowledge openly ? an addiction to sex.
Shi said he?s struggling between the frequent urges and the accompanying physical or psychological problems, but he is unable to find help. The exact number of sex addicts in China is unknown because no surveys have ever been conducted on the issue.
Those who believe themselves to be in its thrall say they are ashamed, and few care to speak out or seek medical assistance, even though the condition makes them feel isolated and depressed.
There has not been a great deal of academic study or research into the topic, said Huang Yingying, deputy director of the Institute of Sexuality and Gender at Renmin University of China.
She said it is not a social problem at the moment, but there are no reliable figures in China, because of the difficulty of conducting investigations and surveys into the subject.
One-night stands
Shi has masturbated as often as seven times a day since the age of 15 and has frequently indulged in one-night stands. During his senior high school years, he often had affairs with married women.
He lived with his girlfriend at college and said they made love almost every day, but when the relationship ended earlier this year, the maniac masturbation returned.
?When it (the desire to masturbate) arose, it was just so hard to resist. I always struggled for a couple of hours before surrendering. Then I did it again and again,? said Shi in a soft voice.
?I always felt tired and weak for the next few days and found it hard to concentrate at work.?
Guilt
Sometimes the urge arrived when he was in the office or traveling home.
He didn?t literally stop working or get off the train to act on the urge, but often spent 30 minutes or even longer indulging his fantasies.
The physical fatigue resulting from overwhelming lust arrives and recedes, but the shame and guilt never stop.
?I believe in Buddhism. It is wrong to be greedy and indulge oneself in sex. I?ve tried abstaining now and then, but it never lasted long,? he said.
?I don?t approve of premarital sex, but I failed to abide by that principle as well. I don?t know why we (he and his ex-girlfriend) made love again and again. It made me feel the relationship was all about sex, but I didn?t know how to start a conversation (to address the situation).?
Shi and his friends sometimes discussed their sex lives and he tried to explain his problem, but no one took him seriously: ?They just said jokingly, ?Brother, you are a superman!? What could I say??
Sexual chat rooms
He found people who claimed to be in a similar situation online. But a lot of the chat groups just turned out to be forums for arranging single encounters and even group sex.
Shi insisted that he never succumbed to the temptation, although the groups made it easy to find people with similar impulses.
In the chat rooms, people shared their various sexual experiences and their hunger for more sex, topics that are rarely broached in public.
Most of those who claimed to be sex addicts had one-night stands with strangers. Some felt guilty about their desires or experiences with people they didn?t love.
However, many admitted their sense of wrongdoing derived from uncomfortable physical conditions, such as back pain, fatigue and an inability to concentrate, rather than psychological promptings.
Online chat rooms and social networking sites provide an outlet for many who claim sex addiction.
Sina Weibo, China?s Twitter-like site, has dozens of users with pseudonyms such as ?Sex Addict? or ?Sex Addiction?.
5 men, 1 night
?I?m a sex addict?, wrote one 25-year-old woman, who claimed she has been addicted for three or four years. After breaking up with her boyfriend during her sophomore year at college, she felt a much stronger sexual desire than before.
?I had sex with many men after that, including a friend who is also addicted to sex,? she wrote. ?I cannot stop having sex with other people and I felt guilty after I found a boyfriend a few months ago. If I can?t even control my desires and remain loyal to the one I love, I?m just an animal.?
She is not alone, apparently. Many other Chinese appear to be concerned about their overt sexual urges.
Almost every social networking chat group with a name such as ?Sex Addicts? or variants on the theme consists of around 40 or 50 members, with most saying that they have ?excessive? sexual desires, but still feel guilty after one-night stands.
?I sometimes have to make love with different people five times a night, or even more. In the end it isn?t a good feeling, but I can?t stop until I am physically exhausted,? wrote one chat room visitor, under the name ?Poor man with too much sex?.
Health issues
Shi appears to have an addictive personality. He is a heavy smoker, who sometimes gets through 30 cigarettes a day.
?I know it?s bad for my health. But at least it doesn?t eat me up inside every day,? he said.
Compared with his sexual desires, the addiction to cigarettes makes him feel less guilty because smokers display their addiction in public.
?People talk about smoking and sometimes criticise smokers, but the discussions are often lighthearted and make me feel better,? he said.
Hu Peicheng, director of medical psychology at Peking University Health Science Center, warned that excessive sexual activity can affect the reproductive organs, cardiovascular function, and even, in the view of practitioners of traditional Chinese medicine, the kidneys.
Shi said he wants a ?normal sex life?, but is ashamed to seek medical help, which is difficult to find on the Chinese mainland, anyway.
?I want to quit this addiction and have pondered the causes many times,? he said. His parents divorced when he was aged 6 and his memories of childhood are dominated by repeated home moves.
?I had no close friends or a real home before I was 18. The dark side of humanity filled my mind,? he said, suggesting that his childhood experiences could be one of the reasons behind his problem.
Lack of recognition
To cure a ?disease? that isn?t even defined as a medical condition is hard for those who believe themselves to be sex addicts.
The condition is not mentioned in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders in China, which chronicles the entire gamut of recognised mental health issues in the country.
Despite a plethora of ?cases? involving Hollywood stars, even the American Psychiatric Association does not recognise sex addiction as a genuine affliction. Therefore, no official diagnostic criteria exist.
The association does, however, provide classifications that are helpful to those seeking to understand sexual behaviour disorders, called paraphilias ? stimulation by individuals, situations and even objects that are not normally considered arousing.
Huang from the Institute of Sexuality and Gender said that the concept of sex addiction might soon be discredited anyway, as the medical profession reconsiders what can be defined as a disease, and clears some from the catalog.
In 2001, homosexuality was deleted from the third edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders in China, and the World Health Organisation has also deleted the definition from its catalog of mental illnesses.
?Sex addiction is not recognised as a disease. That?s not only in China, but in other countries as well,? said Fang Gang, director of Institute of Sexuality and Gender Studies at the Beijing Forestry University.
In his opinion, sex addiction is a concept created by factions such as the extreme right wing or religious groups, as a means of discrediting sex and promoting abstinence.
Fang compared sex addiction with other passions, such as an overwhelming interest in food or autos.
?Every day people want to indulge their passion and do something that has no negative affect on society. The desire to normalize the condition has resulted in those who believe themselves afflicted feeling the need to classify it as a disease and search for a, largely nonexistent, ?cure?,? he said.
Friends with ?benefits?
In the eyes of her female friends, Peng Xuanxuan, 26, has a very open attitude toward sex.
In the past three years, while she was studying at graduate school, she maintained a number of relationships with ?benefit? friends. The benefit in question being sex lots of it.
Sometimes, she also engaged in one-night stands. Whenever she finished her study assignments, the first idea that came into her mind was hooking up.
She admitted that she was sexually very conservative before arriving at college. ?I was very serious about my virginity at that time, but my boyfriend made the experience joyful and romantic.? Sex ? with her boyfriend, a ?benefit? friend or via a one-night stand ? made her feel good and gave her bags of energy, she said.
?If we both feel good, I don?t think sex bothers anyone. And there?s nothing wrong with frequent sex, or as, we say, so-called sex addiction,? she said. ?It?s just like eating; some people eat a little, while others eat more. If sex makes you feel good, loved and energetic, why attribute blame??
Peng?s attitude was echoed by Marty Klein, who has spent 30 years as a certified sex therapist and licensed marriage and family therapist in Palo Alto, California.
In an article called You?re Addicted to What? ? published in the July/August issue of The Humanist magazine ? Klein argued that ?sex addiction? is simply a concept utilised by groups such as the religious right to combat perceived liberalism, to refute science and ignite fear.
He said he would never diagnose a patient as suffering from sex addiction, because he doesn?t recognise it as a condition.
Instead, Klein believes that the claims derive from people who regret the sexual choices they?ve made and want to change their lifestyles.
?But since they don?t want to stop feeling powerful, attractive or loved, they can?t seem to stop the repetitive sex, clumsily designed to replicate those feelings,? he said.
yangwanli@chinadaily.com.cn
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God made Adam and took a bone out of Adam to make Eve, so it is only natural for a human being to like the feeling of intimacy within a relationship, within the confines of marriage, or mankind will have no offspring to carry on his next generation, but when lust comes into the picture, and mankind only lives for sexual gratification, then it becomes sex addiction because the ultimate is self gratification without the cares of the consequences, and will lead you to the wrong path, where originally love should be the ultimate sacrifice within the confines of marriage. The brain is so made up that man and woman needs the feeling of touch, caress and sex is the ultimate release to cope with the daily realm of stress, it is possible to live without sex, but there will be other deprivation of the human behaviour which will compensates for the release of stress.
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Sandy disrupts presidential campaign 8 days out
WASHINGTON (AP) ? Hurricane Sandy overran White House politicking Monday, with President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney calling off campaign rallies as the strengthening storm bore down on the East Coast.
Obama was first to get off the campaign trail, rushing out of battleground Florida ahead of a planned rally to monitor the storm in Washington and calling off a trip to Wisconsin Tuesday. Romney followed suit shortly after the president arrived back at the White House by canceling all events he and running mate Paul Ryan had scheduled for Monday night and Tuesday.
"Sandy is another devastating hurricane by all accounts, and a lot of people are going to be facing some real tough times as a result of Sandy's fury," Romney said at a campaign stop in Ohio. He also planned to stop in swing state Iowa before standing down as the storm was predicted to make landfall Monday night.
Obama was trying to balance the need to show command in crisis while in the final throes of a tough re-election campaign. Upon arrival at the White House, he planned to convene a video conference in the Situation Room with administration officials monitoring the storm's path and running the response, then speak to reporters.
The president met with federal emergency officials Sunday before flying to Florida that night ahead of a rally scheduled for Monday. But the intensifying storm heading to the East Coast took priority, with the president signing emergency declarations for New England states in the middle of the night from his Orlando hotel room.
By dawn the White House decided to call off the politicking. Obama made a bumpy flight back to Washington and landed in a driving rain that forced him to take his motorcade, rather than his helicopter, back to the South Lawn upon arrival.
White House spokesman Jay Carney said they changed plans because the storm picked up speed and intensity overnight, making it necessary for the president to leave earlier if he hoped to get back to Washington.
"The president's priority right now is the safety and security of Americans who are in the path of the storm," Carney said. "It's essential in his view that he be in Washington ... to oversee that effort and to be updated on it."
Obama's plans to campaign Wednesday in Ohio were still on, though campaign officials said they were evaluating travel plans on an almost hourly basis.
Most of the White House news media representatives who accompanied Obama to Florida were left there after the pilots of separate, charter flights determined it was unsafe to follow Air Force One back to Washington.
Obama's aides considered moving the Orlando event even earlier Monday morning but were told that would put Air Force One back too late to land safely. Nearly all commercial flights had already been canceled in the Washington area as heavy rains soaked the capital ahead of Sandy's expected landfall Monday night.
With eight days before Election Day, neither campaign could afford to fully shut down its political activity in a race that remains tight. Four critical election states are affected by the storm ? North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio and New Hampshire ? but there was still unthreatened ground to cover across the rest of the country.
While the impact of the storm had yet to be seen, at the very least it was a distraction as both sides were looking to make their final appeals and millions of ballots were already being cast in early voting. It threatened to dilute Romney's efforts to close the deal with voters while giving Obama a platform to show leadership in the time of crisis. And power outages could end up cutting off their message in television ads and automatic phone calls in the eastern swing states.
Obama advisers said they said they were confident in their ground game even if Obama has to curtail his campaign appearances.
"We're obviously going to lose a bunch of campaign time," senior campaign adviser David Axelrod told reporters in a conference call. "We'll try to make it up on the back end."
Republicans concede that the storm essentially pushes a pause button on the momentum Romney had been building in key states across the country, but argue that it's not necessarily a bad thing. They insist they are in strong positions in battlegrounds like Ohio, Florida, Colorado and Iowa, but acknowledge that Virginia could be a problem. Romney was forced to cancel three rallies planned for the state on Sunday and it's unclear when he'll be able to return.
Romney's campaign is considering a plan to send the candidate to New Jersey later this week, where he could meet with victims and gauge damage with political ally Gov. Chris Christie. The move would follow the path Romney took in the wake of Hurricane Irene following the Republican National Convention, when he toured storm damage in Louisiana with Gov. Bobby Jindal, also a supporter.
Former President Bill Clinton still planned to appear before voters at the Orlando rally in Obama's absence. Later Clinton and Vice President Joe Biden were appearing together in Youngstown, Ohio. Biden was originally supposed to campaign in New Hampshire Monday, but diverted to Ohio to replace Obama after the president canceled his appearance to stick to Washington.
Polls suggest Obama has an advantage in reaching the required 270 Electoral College votes. But Romney's campaign is projecting momentum and considering trying to expand the playing field beyond the nine states that have garnered the bulk of the candidates' attention.
A senior Republican official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to disclose private deliberations, said Romney's team was discussing sending the GOP nominee, Ryan or both to traditionally left-leaning Minnesota during the campaign's final week.
Clinton planned to campaign in the state Tuesday with likely stops on college campuses, before continuing on a tireless swing to help fill Obama's void this week to Iowa, Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, New Hampshire and Wisconsin.
Both campaigns used social media to urge supporters to donate to the Red Cross and said they would stop sending fundraising emails on Monday to people living in areas in the storm's path.
Romney staffers in North Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia were collecting storm-relief supplies at campaign offices to be delivered via one of Romney's campaign buses. In an email, Romney encouraged supporters in the storm's path to help neighbors get ready.
"For safety's sake, as you and your family prepare for the storm, please be sure to bring any yard signs inside," the email read. "In high winds they can be dangerous, and cause damage to homes and property."
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Associated Press reporters Steve Peoples in Avon Lake, Ohio, Brian Bakst in St. Paul, Minn., and Ken Thomas in Washington contributed to this report.
Source: http://news.yahoo.com/sandy-disrupts-presidential-campaign-8-days-153420248--election.html
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Chris Weigant: 2012 Electoral Math -- One Week Out
Are you worried that Frankenstorm will restrict your access to up-to-date polling numbers? Do you know more about the state of the race in places you've never been to, but haven't decided what to do for Hallowe'en yet? Then you have come to the right place! With one week to go before Election Day dawns, the race for president is about as tight as it can get, so let's get right to it.
First, a look at the overall state of the electoral math:
[Click on any of theses graphs to see larger-scale versions.]
Things stayed pretty close to where they were last week (note: due to the final debate, last week's column ran on Tuesday, so you may have missed it). Barack Obama's overall electoral vote ("EV") total spiked upwards, then fell back, and finished at 280 EV, one down from where he started. Mitt Romney's total spiked way down, but then partially recovered by week's end, to close at 235 EV, down from 244 EV. The number of states perfectly tied stayed high, going from 13 EV to 34 EV, before falling back to 23 EV at the end. Percentage-wise, this left Obama at 52.0 percent of the overall Electoral College, while Romney fell back to 43.7 percent.
Eleven states moved around in the categories this week, which was mostly bad (but not terrible) news for Obama. Obama lost ground, but held onto, two states (Minnesota and New Mexico), while losing two to "Tied" (Iowa and New Hampshire). The only good news for Obama was flipping Colorado from Romney, but Obama only holds a thin lead here which could easily change back. Mitt Romney got good news in two of his states, and bad news in one, as Arizona and Tennessee firmed up and Montana weakened. Tennessee hadn't had a poll in a very long time, though, so this probably doesn't represent any real movement, just a reality that had been there all along. Still, it's good news for Romney who maintained his hold on all three states. Three states moved, but then moved back, leaving them where they started. Wisconsin firmed up for Obama, but then weakened in a subsequent poll; North Carolina slipped from Romney into a tie, but then drifted back; and Virginia briefly went from Tied to Obama, but then fell back again.
Romney's dip, in the chart above, was due to losing North Carolina and Colorado. His partial recovery was picking North Carolina back up again. Obama gained ground by briefly holding Virginia. When he lost it back to Tied, he also lost Iowa, but gained Colorado to partially offset the loss. At the very end, he lost New Hampshire to Tied. There are three states currently in the Tied category, Iowa, Virginia, and New Hampshire, for a total of 23 EV.
Let's take a closer look at the movement for each candidate, starting with Mitt Romney:
[Definition of terms: "Strong" means 10% or better in the polls,
"Weak" means 5% or better, and "Barely" is under five percent.]
Mitt Romney showed some strengthening among his base "red" states, but actually lost ground overall this week. Overall, he ended the week down by nine EV due to the loss of Colorado to Obama. Romney had some movement in his "Strong" numbers, as first he lost Montana and then gained Tennessee. This was a net gain for Romney, from 134 EV to 142 EV. Romney's "Weak" numbers also managed to grow over the week, from 46 EV all the way up to 60 EV before falling back to 49 EV. This pushed Romney's critical "Strong Plus Weak" line up to 191 EV, which he hasn't seen since the beginning of this month. Firming up Arizona added the 11 EV Romney gained here over last week.
This puts Romney in good (but not great) shape with one week to go. He has made up the ground he lost among his base over the month, but he still has never broken the barrier of polling ahead in states which add up to 250 EV, much less the 270 EV he needs to win.
Which brings us to how Obama's doing:
Overall, Obama stayed about the same, but what must be worrying Team Obama right now is that he seems to be weakening in some of his base "blue" states. That's a bad trend, one week out. For the week, Obama only lost one EV from his total. Obama, however, lost 15 EV from his Strong category, with the weakening of New Mexico and Minnesota. This brought his Strong number down from 210 EV to 195 EV at week's end. Obama was up briefly in Weak with the addition of Wisconsin, until it slipped back to "Barely." At the end, Minnesota also slipped into Barely, completing a one-week slide down from Strong Obama, which, again must be a little disconcerting for Obama fans. As a result, Obama's Strong Plus Weak ended down 10 EV this week to close out at 227 EV. The one bit of good news overall for Obama was capturing Colorado's 9 EV, but he's got a pretty tenuous hold on the state.
This all puts Obama in better shape than Romney, but neither candidate's position could be called "commanding" at this point. Four years ago, when I wrote my penultimate "Electoral Math" column, I subtitled it "Obama Has Closed The Deal." Needless to say, that wasn't a viable option this time around. While I'm usually skeptical of all the "it's going to be a close close race" nonsense from the mainstream media, this time around they may actually be right. The race is one whale of a lot tighter than it was in 2008 at this point, to put it another way.
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My Picks
Onward to the part of the program where the deciding factor can be not just a poll number, but how my gut feels about a particular state. As always, the categories here are different to avoid confusion with the hard data above. Full lists of states in all my categories are provided at the end, as well.
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Likely States -- Obama
Safe Obama (18 states, 227 EV)
One state moves into "Safe Obama" this week, while another moves out. Minnesota can't really be seen as Safe anymore, so it's going to move down a bit. But my gut tells me that the race is pretty much in the bag for Obama in Pennsylvania, so I'm going to consider it Safe for now. Because Pennsylvania has twice Minnesota's 10 EV, Obama gains a bit here this week.
Probable Obama (3 states, 26 EV)
While Pennsylvania moves up from "Probable Obama," Minnesota swaps places with it. While Obama has gotten some bad polling of late in Minnesota, I still feel pretty good about his chances there, and so can't really see the state as a tossup yet. Nevada and Wisconsin both stay stable here this week, because I'm still feeling optimistic about both of them.
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Likely States -- Romney
Safe Romney (21 states, 170 EV)
While the polling doesn't actually merit it, I'm still going to move Georgia up to Safe Romney this week, as I think Romney's going to win in a cakewalk here.
Probable Romney (2 states, 21 EV)
While Georgia moves up to Safe, Arizona moves up to take its place, as it firms up for Romney. Missouri stays put.
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Tossup States
Lean Obama (3 states, 31 EV)
Two states change places here this week, as Iowa moves down to "Too Close To Call" while Colorado moves up from the same category. This is truly where gut feelings come into play, I should mention. New Hampshire and Ohio stay as "Lean Obama" this week, even though a case could be made that either could be considered a true tossup. I feel good about Obama's chances in Colorado, New Hampshire, and Ohio. I feel less good about his chances in Iowa. We're into tossing darts at the wall here, folks.
Lean Romney (1 state, 15 EV)
Arizona moved up to Probable Romney from this category this week, but I'm moving Florida down to Too Close To Call. I know, Florida has looked like Romney territory all month, but the polls have stayed incredibly tight, so perhaps Obama's response to a hurricane might help him with Floridians, who knows? At least until next week, we're moving Florida to tossup status. North Carolina stays as Lean Romney, although a case could be made that it belongs in Too Close To Call as well.
Too Close To Call (3 states, 48 EV)
Florida moves down from Lean Romney, and Iowa moves down from Lean Obama. To round out Too Close To Call, Virginia stays razor-close, with no clear lead shown by either candidate.
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Final Tally
This is the last time we're going to provide such an exhaustive look at the polling, we should mention, because next Monday we're going to just dive in and make our predictions for how the 2012 election is going to happen, state by state.
The hard polling numbers show Obama maintaining a lead, but not an overwhelming one. Obama holds 280 EV to Romney's 235 EV, a lead of 45 EV. This is up from last week, when Obama only led Romney by 37 EV. But in Strong Plus Weak, Obama's 227 EV over Romney's 191 EV shows only a 36 EV lead, which is down from last week's 57 EV, and little more than half of Obama's lead from two weeks ago of 67 EV.
The race tightens. Obama, in my estimation, has 21 states with 253 EV comfortably in his column. Mitt Romney has secured 23 states for 191 EV. This shows a healthier lead of 62 EV for Obama, which is down from last week's 73 EV lead.
Still, Obama retains the edge. From the 94 EV in the seven tossup states, Obama only needs 17 EV to be re-inaugurated. Mitt Romney needs 79 EV to win. If Obama wins either Florida or Ohio, the election may essentially be over at that point. Even if Obama loses both large states, he still has multiple paths to victory. Romney pretty much has only one path: a last-minute surge which breaks all the undecideds in almost all of the tossup states his way. The problem for Obama is, this is now looking quite possible instead of ludicrously unlikely.
Frankenstorm Sandy may impact voters' feelings at the last minute, but the real sword of Damocles hanging over the White House right now is this Friday's release of the October unemployment figures. If the numbers are bad, it could give Romney the last-second momentum he needs. If the numbers are good, Obama could waltz to victory. Stay tuned....
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[Electoral Vote Data:]
(State electoral votes are in parenthesis following each state's name. Washington D.C. is counted as a state. This column series relies on Electoral-Vote.com for state polling data, as we did four years ago.)
Barack Obama Likely Easy Wins -- 21 States -- 253 Electoral Votes:
Safe States -- 18 States -- 227 Electoral Votes
California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Michigan (16), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), New York (29), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (20), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington D.C. (3), Washington (12)
Probable States -- 3 States -- 26 Electoral Votes
Minnesota (10), Nevada (6), Wisconsin (10)
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Mitt Romney Likely Easy Wins -- 23 States -- 191 Electoral Votes:
Safe States -- 21 States -- 170 Electoral Votes
Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (38), Utah (6), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3)
Probable States -- 2 States -- 21 Electoral Votes
Arizona (11), Missouri (10)
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Tossup States -- 7 States -- 94 Electoral Votes:
Tossup States Leaning Obama -- 3 States -- 31 Electoral Votes
Colorado (9), New Hampshire (4), Ohio (18)
Tossup States Leaning Romney -- 1 State -- 15 Electoral Votes
North Carolina (15)
Too Close To Call -- 3 States -- 48 Electoral Votes
Florida (29), Iowa (6), Virginia (13)
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No polling data since August:
(States which have not been polled since the beginning of September, with the dates of their last poll)
South Carolina (1/13), Alabama (8/16), Vermont (8/21), West Virginia (8/25)
No polling data at all, yet:
(States which have not been polled so far this year)
Alaska, Delaware, Kansas, Mississippi, Wyoming
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Electoral Math Column Series Archive:
[Oct?23] [Oct?15] [Oct?08] [Sep?26] [Sep?17] [Aug?22] [Aug?8] [Jul?18] [Jun?25]
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Chris Weigant blogs at: 
Follow Chris on Twitter: @ChrisWeigant
Become a fan of Chris on The Huffington Post
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Follow Chris Weigant on Twitter: www.twitter.com/ChrisWeigant
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Source: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/chris-weigant/obama-romney-polls_b_2042418.html
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HTC 8X Review: Windows Phones Are Finally Getting Good
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Video: Students look for a new start using old-world techniques
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Source: http://video.today.msnbc.msn.com/today/49586500/
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Video: Worse than Irene? Don?t say it
>> there are also evacuations for low-lying areas along the connecticut coast. katie turr is on the beach in fairfield for us tonight. katie, good evening.
>> reporter: and lester, the wind has been picking up pretty steadily off long island sound all evening. no rain as of yet has, expected until tomorrow. people here in fairfield are hearing take heed, they are -- not to mention the hundreds of thousands in this state who are without power for days on end. yes, there are mandatory evacuations here in fairfield and other low lying coastal areas but people said they would have left anyway. they could not stay here any longer. the mayor has mandatory evacuation for fairfield and along the coast. and lester, they are hoping here that they're only having to prepare for the worst not having to repair because of it. the good news is that people are heeding those mandatory evacuation orders.
Source: http://video.msnbc.msn.com/nightly-news/49590375/
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Syria truce collapse shows limits of diplomacy
BEIRUT (AP) ? Syria's air force fired missiles and dropped barrel bombs on rebel strongholds while opposition fighters attacked regime positions Sunday, flouting a U.N.-backed cease-fire that was supposed to quiet fighting over a long holiday weekend but never took hold.
The failure to push through a truce so limited in its ambitions ? just four days ? has been a sobering reflection of the international community's inability to ease 19 months of bloodshed in Syria. It also suggests that the stalemated civil war will drag on, threatening to draw in Syria's neighbors in this highly combustible region such as Turkey, Lebanon and Jordan.
"This conflict has now taken a dynamic of its own which should be worrying to everyone," said Salman Shaikh, director of the Brookings Doha Center think tank.
The U.N. tried to broker a halt to fighting over the four-day Eid al-Adha Muslim feast that began on Friday, one of the holiest times of the Islamic calendar. But the truce was violated almost immediately after it was supposed to take effect, the same fate other cease-fires in Syria have met.
Activists said at least 110 people were killed Sunday, a toll similar to previous daily casualty tolls. They include 16 who died in an airstrike on the village of al-Barra in northern Syria's mountainous Jabal al-Zawiya region.
The Observatory also reported a car bomb that exploded in a residential area in the Damascus neighborhood of Barzeh and wounded 15 people, but the target was not immediately clear.
Though Syria's death toll has topped 35,000, the bloodiest and most protracted crisis of the Arab Spring, the West has been wary of intervening. There is concern about sparking a wider conflagration because Syria borders Israel and is allied with Iran and the powerful Lebanese militant group Hezbollah.
There are already increasing incidents of the civil war spilling across borders.
Many in Lebanon blame Syria and Hezbollah for the Oct. 19 car bomb that killed the country's intelligence chief. The assassination stirred up deadly sectarian tensions in Lebanon, where Sunnis and Shiites are deeply divided over the Syrian civil war, raising the specter of renewed sectarian fighting.
Lebanon's two largest political coalitions have lined up on opposite sides of Syria's civil war. Hezbollah and its partners who dominate the government have stood by Assad's regime, while the Sunni-led opposition backs the rebels seeking to topple the Syrian government. Assad and many in his inner circle are Alawites ? an offshoot of Shiite Islam and a minority in Syria ? while the rebels come mostly from the country's Sunni majority.
Iraqi Shiites also increasingly fear a spillover from Syria. Iraqi authorities on Sunday forced an Iranian cargo plane heading to Syria to land for inspection in Baghdad to ensure it was not carrying weapons, the second such forced landing this month. The move appeared aimed at easing U.S. concerns that Iraq has become a route for shipments of Iranian military supplies that could help Assad battle rebels.
In Jordan, concern over stability was underlined last month, when its U.S., British and French allies quickly dispatched their military experts to help Jordanian commandos devise plans to shield the population in case of a chemical attack from neighboring Syria.
Turkey's support for the Syrian rebel movement is another point of tension, and Turkey has reinforced its border and fired into Syria on several occasions recently in response to shells that have landed from Syria inside Turkish territory.
The U.S. administration says it remains opposed to military action in Syria and politicians have been preoccupied this year with the presidential election, now a few weeks away.
On Sunday, Syrian warplanes struck the eastern Damascus suburbs of Arbeen, Harasta and Zamalka to try to drive out rebels, according to activists in those areas and the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, which compiles information from activists in Syria.
In Douma, another Damascus suburb, rebels wrested three positions from regime forces, including an unfinished high-rise building that had been used by regime snipers, according to the Observatory and Mohammed Saeed, a local activist.
Fighting was also reported near Maaret al-Numan, a strategic town along the Aleppo-Damascus highway that rebels seized earlier this month. Opposition fighters including the al-Qaida-inspired Jabhat al-Nusra, have also besieged a nearby military base and repeatedly attacked government supply convoys heading there. The Observatory said the Syrian air force fired missiles and dropped barrel bombs ? makeshift weapons made of explosives stuffed into barrels ? on villages near the base.
The cease-fire was seen as a long shot from the outset. International peace envoy Lakhdar Brahimi failed to get firm commitments from all combatants, and no mechanism to monitor violations was put in place.
Jabhat al-Nusra rejected the truce outright. In a video posted this week, the leader of al-Qaida, Ayman al-Zawahri, urged Muslims everywhere to support Syria's uprising.
"It's not just about the Syria military and the army defectors that form the backbone of the Free Syrian Army rebel group anymore," said Hassan Abdul-Azim, a Damascus-based opposition leader. He said there were so many foreign fighters and external actors now involved in the Syrian civil war that only an agreement among the various international and regional powers could put an end to the fighting.
"The truce was merely an attempt by Brahimi to try and temporarily ease the people's suffering in the lost time until the U.S. elections, in the hope that the international community can then get its act together and agree on a diplomatic solution for Syria," he told The Associated Press.
But with the unraveling of the cease-fire, it's unclear what the international community can do next.
Assad allies Russia and China have shielded his regime against harsher U.N. Security Council sanctions, while the rebels' foreign backers including neighboring Turkey have shied away from military intervention. Iran, which is embroiled in its own diplomatic standoff with the West over its suspect nuclear program, is also a staunch supporter of Assad's regime.
The U.S., meanwhile, is averse to sending strategic weapons to help the rebels break the battlefield stalemate, fearing they will fall into the hands of militant Islamists, who are increasingly active in rebel ranks.
"There has been a lack of desire to take the tough decisions," said Shaikh.
"In Washington, they've only been focused on the narrow political goal of their own elections, trying to convince a war-wary public inside the U.S. that we are actually disengaging from the conflicts of the Middle East," he said.
The truce was called as the two sides were battling over strategic targets in a largely deadlocked civil war. They include a military base near a main north-south highway, the main supply route to Aleppo, Syria's largest city, where regime forces and rebels have been fighting house-to-house. It appears each side feared the other could exploit a lull to improve its positions.
Brahimi has not said what would follow a cease-fire. Talks between Assad and the Syrian opposition on a peaceful transition are blocked, since the Syrian leader's opponents say they will not negotiate unless Assad resigns, something he has always refused to do.
In April, Brahimi's predecessor as Syria mediator, former U.N. chief Kofi Annan, tried to launch a more comprehensive plan ? an open-ended cease-fire to be enforced by hundreds of U.N. monitors, followed by talks on a political transition. Annan's plan failed to gain traction, and after an initial decrease in violence, his proposed cease-fire collapsed.
On Sunday, amateur videos posted online showed warplanes flying over the eastern suburbs of Damascus. One video showed two huge clouds of smoke rising from what was said to be Arbeen, and the sound of an airplane could be heard in the background. It was not clear if the video showed the aftermath of shelling or an airstrike.
Another video showed destruction inside the Sheikh Moussa mosque in Harasta. Windows and doors were blown out, glass and debris scattered across the mosque's floor. The narrator broke down as he was heard saying: "Where are the Muslims? Our mosques are being bombed and no one cares."
The videos appeared consistent with Associated Press reporting in the area.
The Syrian government has accused the rebels of violating the cease-fire from the start. The state-run news agency SANA said opposition fighters carried out attacks in a number of areas, including in Aleppo and the eastern town of Deir el-Zour.
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Associated Press writer Karin Laub contributed reporting.
Source: http://news.yahoo.com/syria-truce-collapse-shows-limits-diplomacy-185444934.html
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Full Dragon exits space station, Earth next stop
CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. (AP) ? An unmanned Dragon freighter left the International Space Station on Sunday with a stash of precious medical samples and aimed for a Pacific splashdown to end the first official shipment under a billion-dollar contract with NASA.
Astronauts aboard the International Space Station used a giant robot arm to release the commercial cargo ship 255 miles up. The California-based SpaceX company will steer its capsule back to Earth via parachutes on Sunday afternoon, a couple hundred miles off the Baja California coast.
The supply ship is bringing back nearly 2,000 pounds of science experiments and old station equipment. Perhaps the most eagerly awaited cargo is nearly 500 frozen samples of blood and urine collected by station astronauts over the past year.
The Dragon is the only delivery ship capable of returning items, now that NASA's shuttles are retired to museums. Atlantis made the last shuttle haul to and from the station in July 2011.
SpaceX ? more formally Space Exploration Technologies Corp. ? launched the capsule three weeks ago from Cape Canaveral, full of groceries, clothes and other station supplies. Ice cream as well as fresh apples were especially appreciated by the station residents, now back up to a full crew of six.
It's the second Dragon to return from the orbiting lab; the first mission in May was a flight demo. This flight is the first of 12 deliveries under a $1.6 billion contract with NASA.
"It was nice while she was on board," space station commander Sunita Williams said as the Dragon backed away. "We tamed her, took her home and, literally and figuratively, there's a piece of us on that spacecraft going home to Earth."
She added to the SpaceX flight controllers in Hawthorne, Calif.: "Congratulations Hawthorne and thank you for her."
The Dragon will be retrieved from the Pacific and loaded onto a 100-foot boat that will haul it to Los Angeles. From there, it will be transported to McGregor, Texas.
The medical samples will be removed as quickly as possible, and turned over to NASA within 48 hours of splashdown, according to SpaceX. Everything else will wait for unloading in McGregor.
A Russian supply ship, meanwhile, is set to blast off this week. It burns up upon descent, however, at mission's end. So do the cargo vessels provided by Europe and Japan.
SpaceX is working to transform its Dragon cargo craft into vessels that American astronauts could fly in another four or five years. Until SpaceX or another U.S. company is able to provide rides, NASA astronauts must rely on Russian rockets to get to and from the space station.
___
Online:
SpaceX: http://www.spacex.com/
NASA: http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/main/index.html
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Holiday Email Campaigns ? Think Beyond December ...
The NRF is forecasting 12% increase in online sales and a 4.1% increase in overall sales this holiday season - meaning that shoppers will spend $96 billion online and $586.1 billion in total.? That?s just in November and December.? However, people don?t stop shopping in January; and, while the revenue might not be counted towards the holidays, it certainly counts towards online retailers? bottom lines.
As you plan your holiday strategy this year, think beyond December and what you can do to keep customers shopping into 2013.? Here are five Post Purchase Email Campaign tactics you should try, beyond the usual holiday sales and gift card redemption campaigns:
- Get What You Really Want - People typically give gifts that they?d like to receive from retailers that they know and trust.? And just because they?re giving away all of their favorite merchandise doesn?t necessarily mean they?ll get it in return.? In January, try a post purchase email campaign to new customers letting them know that it isn?t too late for them to purchase items that they really wanted.? Be clever ? last year, Apple sent out an email the day after Christmas with the subject line ?Wasn?t under the tree? Get it now from the Apple Store.?
- Cross-Sell / Upsell ? Similarly, a cross-sell / upsell post purchase campaign after the holidays will generate a lot of additional revenue in January.? These campaigns can be set up in advance and automatically deployed with accessories and other products related to the merchandise that was previously purchased.? Be sure to include an easy way for the recipient to forward and share the message.
- Request a Product Review ? There are many benefits of shopping online during the holidays ? no crowds, 24 hour availability, better selection, easier price checks and inventory checks, and, of course, convenience, to name a few.? In fact, a Bazaarvoice study in March of this year found that online shoppers are more satisfied than in-store shoppers across all demographics.? After the holidays, send a post purchase email requesting a product review or survey.? Customers love to provide feedback and they like to know that their opinions are valued ? and new shoppers love to read reviews from other customers.? Everyone wins.?? We?ve even seen survey and review request emails with conversion rates of 15-20% even though the emails aren?t promotional, so don?t be surprised if these campaigns drive additional revenue.
- No hassle returns ? A study last year by Motorola found that 40.5% of shoppers are dissatisfied with the return/exchange process provided by online retailers.? Let your customers know you care by sending out a post purchase campaign detailing your return policy to make it as simple as possible for customers to get the merchandise they really want.? This campaign will help set you apart from your competitors and will keep trust levels high.
- Back in stock announcements ? If you?re one of the retailers lucky enough to be selling this year?s hottest gifts, let customers know when inventory levels have been replenished.?? You should consider adding a notification module on your website so shoppers can sign up for an email alerting them that the product they want is available for purchase; however, for the best selling gifts an email may be sent out to your entire customer base, too.? These emails keep customers happy and buying well after the holidays.
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Minnesota State Flair: If it's Good Enough for Paul Bunyan, It's Good ...
If you pay any attention to the food and drink scene in Minnesota, you are by now well aware that the craft beer scene has exploded in recent year. Sure, Minnesotans have always liked their beer, but today you can't swing an uprooted hops vine without hitting a home brewer or encountering a restaurant or bar with a line of local craft beers on tap. No surprise, then, that this renewed interest in beer made good showing at the Minnesota State Fair. And, really, where better to pay homage to this state's brewing culture? Whether rural farmer, urban homebrewing hipster, professional brewer, hops grower, or barrel maker (or, for that matter, just enthusiastic Minnesota beer drinker), this state -- and our State Fair -- had something for you.?The Minnesota Craft Brewer's Guild's "Land of 10,000 Beers" proved wildly successful, and introduced thousands (hundreds of thousands?) of visitors to Minnesota beer and history through its exhibit and extensive public programming.
Here's raising a glass to Minnesota's thriving brewing scene, and to the Minnesota State Fair. And for you home brewers out there: it's never too early to get started perfecting your own secret blend. Last year's Home Brew competition received 680 entries! Congratulations to the winners, and happy brewing!
Source: http://mnstateflair.blogspot.com/2012/10/if-its-good-enough-for-paul-bunyan-its.html
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Education \ Finnish Typing Class IPA download - iPhone apps
| ? | |
| Company | |
| App Rating | 0.00 / 0 |
| App Update | 2012.10.28 04:06 |
| App Price | $2.99 |
| Apps download | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| App Requirements | iPhone, iPod touch, and iPad. iOS 4.3 or later. This app is optimized for iPhone 5. |
| App support languages | English, Finnish, French, German, Hungarian, Italian, Portuguese, Romanian, Spanish |
| App Size | English, Finnish, French, German, Hungarian, Itali |
| ? | This application is available at the Apple iTunes AppStore. |
Source: http://apps.su/program/53045/finnish-typing-class.html
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